Top 10 Global Long-Term Care & Healthcare Policy Developments of 2025

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In 2025, global policymakers prioritized scalable Long-Term Care (LTC) models and digital health frameworks amid demographic pressures. China's nationwide AI healthcare strategy announced on November 4 stands out for its scale, planning to integrate AI into primary care across 500 township clinics with CNY 15-20 billion investment, setting a model for scalable digital health in BRICS and emerging markets.

Simultaneously, the EU Health Data Space (EHDS) Regulation entered into force on March 26, and the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) published proposed HIPAA Security Rule amendments on December 27, 2024, collectively forming the three pillars of global digital health governance in 2025.

1. China's Nationwide AI Healthcare Strategy: A Reference Model for Emerging Markets

China's National Health Commission unveiled a comprehensive AI healthcare plan on November 4, 2025, aiming to integrate AI-assisted diagnostics into all primary care facilities by 2030.

Implementation Scale and Timeline:

  • Pilot phase: Starting 2026 in 50 hospitals and 500 township clinics

  • Funding: CNY 15-20 billion (approximately USD 2-3 billion) over a five-year implementation period

  • Building national health data infrastructure to set a model for scalable digital health in aging societies

Global Impact Analysis

Compared with EU and U.S. regulatory frameworks, China's strategy demonstrates three distinctive characteristics:

  1. Scale Advantage: Pilot coverage of 550 healthcare institutions far exceeds individual projects in Europe and North America

  2. Speed Advantage: Only 14 months from policy announcement (November 2025) to pilot implementation (early 2026)

  3. System Integration: Integrates AI diagnostics, data infrastructure, and primary care capacity building into a unified strategy

Implications for BRICS and Emerging Markets:

  • Provides a replicable model for rapidly expanding digital health services in resource-constrained environments

  • Demonstrates how to reduce implementation risks through combined central coordination and local pilots

  • Offers pragmatic pathways for developing countries addressing population aging and healthcare resource shortages

Source: China Sets Ambitious Goal with Its Nationwide AI Healthcare Vision

2. EU European Health Data Space (EHDS) Regulation: A New Era of Cross-Border Data Interoperability

The EHDS Regulation was formally adopted on February 11, 2025, published in the Official Journal of the EU on March 5, 2025, and entered into force on March 26, 2025.

Core Functions:

  • Enables secure cross-border health data exchange for primary care and research purposes

  • Mandates data sharing by health data holders while prioritizing privacy protection and interoperability

  • Establishes unified health data governance standards across 27 member states

Comparison with China's Strategy

Comparison with China’s Strategy
Dimension China AI Healthcare Strategy EU EHDS
Implementation Approach Central-led, local pilots Member state coordination, cross-border integration
Technology Focus AI diagnostic capability building Data standardization and sharing
Implementation Speed 14 months to pilot launch Years of multi-national negotiation before entry into force
Coverage Scope 550 pilot institutions All healthcare institutions across 27 countries

Source: European Health Data Space Regulation (EHDS)

Source: European Health Data Space Regulation (EHDS)

3. U.S. FDA Predetermined Change Control Plans (PCCP) Guidance: A New Paradigm for AI Medical Device Lifecycle Management

The FDA issued final guidance on Predetermined Change Control Plans (PCCP) for AI/ML medical devices on December 4, 2024.

Key Innovations:

  • Allows AI/ML devices to pre-authorize updates, streamlining lifecycle management

  • Accelerates global deployment of adaptive technologies

  • Provides regulatory certainty for dynamic AI models

Timeline Clarification: The guidance was published in December 2024 and became immediately effective as a non-binding guidance document, establishing the regulatory foundation for AI medical device innovation in 2025 and beyond.

Source: AI Medical Devices: FDA Draft Guidance, TPLC & PCCP Guide 2025

4. Trump's AI Executive Order: A New Approach to Federal-State Regulatory Balance

President Trump signed an executive order on December 11, 2025, aimed at establishing a unified federal AI policy and reducing state-level regulatory fragmentation.

Policy Objectives:

  • Promotes telemedicine and diagnostics innovation with lighter federal oversight

  • Addresses regulatory complexity from 50 different state approaches

  • Provides more predictable regulatory environment for AI healthcare technology companies

Comparison with EHDS and China's Strategy:

  • EU EHDS: Emphasizes data protection and cross-national coordination

  • China Strategy: Central coordination, rapid scaling

  • U.S. Executive Order: Federal simplification, state rights balance

Source: Executive Order Takes Aim at State AI Laws

5. Global Long-Term Care Market: Surpassing USD 2 Trillion by 2033

Market Size and Growth

The global long-term care market is projected to grow from USD 1.17 trillion in 2024 to USD 2.03 trillion by 2033, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.4%.

Asia-Pacific Region Leading Growth

The Asia-Pacific region is expected to lead with growth rates exceeding the global average, driven by long-term care insurance and home care subsidy reforms in Japan, China, and South Korea.

Key Drivers:

  • Accelerating population aging

  • Addressing workforce shortages through telemedicine

  • Expansion of home care subsidy policies

Source: Global Long Term Care Market to Surpass USD 2.03 Trillion by 2033, Driven by Aging Population and Rising Chronic Illnesses

6. EU Civil Society Calls for Long-Term Care Reforms

In January 2025, the European Federation for Services to Individuals (EFSI), together with multiple civil society organizations, urged the EU Commission to increase long-term care funding, strengthen workforce training, and adopt quality-focused procurement policies.

Core Demands:

  • Fill preventive care gaps through European funding support and relaxed public spending rules

  • Improve rights and social protection for informal carers

  • Revise public procurement directives to prioritize quality over price alone

Source: The new EU Commission must prioritise long-term care ambitions

7. OECD Report: Shift to Home-Based Long-Term Care Models

The OECD's Health at a Glance 2025 report, published in November 2025, notes that member countries are reducing institutional beds and shifting toward community care models.

Major Trends:

  • Germany, France, and other countries advancing reforms to enhance workforce and supply balance

  • Emphasis on preventive care and community integration

  • Transition from institutional care to home and community-based care

Source: Health at a Glance 2025

8. U.S. HIPAA Security Rule Major Proposed Amendments

The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) published a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NPRM) for HIPAA Security Rule amendments on December 27, 2024.

Key Changes (effective date pending):

  • Mandatory encryption of electronic protected health information (ePHI) at rest and in transit, with limited exceptions

  • Mandatory implementation of multi-factor authentication (MFA), with limited exceptions

  • Requirements for vulnerability scanning every six months and penetration testing every 12 months

  • Elimination of distinction between "required" and "addressable" implementation specifications, making all specifications required with limited exceptions

Implementation Timeline:

  • Public comment period ended on March 7, 2025

  • Final rule expected by late 2025 or 2026

  • Covered entities will have 180 days to comply after the final rule becomes effective 60 days post-publication

Synergy with EU EHDS: Both emphasize cybersecurity and data protection in the digital health era, setting standards for global digital health infrastructure.

Source: Vital Signs: Digital Health Law Update | Spring 2025

9. Japan Long-Term Care Insurance and Immigration Policy Updates

Japan implemented reforms in 2025, adjusting health insurance contribution rates from 4.99% to 4.955%, and long-term care insurance rates (for ages 40-64) from 0.80% to 0.795%.

Immigration Policy Adjustments: Extended visa periods for care technology startups and implemented tuberculosis screening for care workers to address super-aging society demands.

Long-Term Care System Challenges:

  • Projected 7 million dementia patients by 2025, representing 20% of the population aged 65 and over

  • Persistent workforce shortages

  • Rising care costs

Source: Japan Statutory Updates 2025

10. EU Cybersecurity Action Plan for Healthcare Facilities

The European Commission released a Cybersecurity Action Plan for hospitals and healthcare providers on January 15, 2025, aimed at better protecting the healthcare sector from cyber threats.

Four Pillars:

  1. Prevention: Building prevention capabilities through enhanced risk management, risk assessments, and cybersecurity training

  2. Detection: Developing EU healthcare sector early warning service by 2026

  3. Response & Recovery: Ensuring availability of EU Cybersecurity Reserve and emergency response services

  4. Deterrence: Strengthening cybercrime law enforcement and international cooperation

Implementation Timeline:

  • Early 2025: Official announcement and stakeholder consultation launch

  • Mid-2025: Member states begin NIS2 transposition, healthcare-specific guidance published

  • End 2025: Incident response playbooks implemented and mandatory ransomware payment reporting

  • Early to mid-2026: EU early warning service launch

Synergy with NIS2 Directive: The plan builds on the NIS2 Directive, classifying hospitals and healthcare facilities as highly critical sectors. Member states will require entities subject to the NIS2 Directive (including healthcare facilities) to report ransomware payments when reporting significant incidents to competent authorities.

Source: European action plan on the cybersecurity of hospitals and healthcare providers

Conclusion

2025 marks a turning point in global digital health and long-term care policy. China's AI healthcare strategy provides a replicable model for emerging markets with its scale and speed; the EU EHDS sets standards for cross-border data governance; and the U.S. balances innovation and security through regulatory reform. These three pillars collectively form the core framework of global healthcare policy in 2025, profoundly influencing the development trajectory of global health systems for the next 5-10 years.

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